Carbon offset credit supply potential tools

The carbon offset credit supply potential tools provide bottom-up estimates of the volume of credits that could be issued under a range of different scenarios. The analytical tools use project level information from the Clean Development Mechanism, Gold Standard, Verified Carbon Standard and Climate Action Reserve extracted from public data sources, combined with survey data collected from a wide range of projects. The database tools have been developed with project partners and applied in a range of projects to provide critical information on the potential supply of credits under scenarios related to the future use of offset credits, including the application of vintage, host country, project type and double counting restrictions. The tools are particularly relevant to ongoing policy design work for CORSIA and considerations for any transition of the CDM to a new international market mechanism.
If you would like to know more about the tool, please contact Harry Fearnehough, Thomas Day or Carsten Warnecke.

Project applications:

Analysis of pre-2020 developments in the global carbon market

The project developed and applied a method to assess the vulnerability of existing project-based mitigation activities (e.g. CDM) to discontinuing their abatement activity.

Associated Publications:

Analysis of options for determining OMGE, SOP and Transition within Article 6 May 2021 - Quantitative analysis of Article 6 policy decision options Read More
CDM supply potential for emission reductions up to the end of 2020 Nov 2020 - Updated estimates of CDM supply potential to inform ongoing negotiations at the UNFCCC on rules… Read More
Offset credit supply potential for CORSIA Nov 2019 - In this discussion paper we estimate the potential supply of carbon offset credits to meet… Read More
Robust eligibility restrictions for offset credits are needed for CORSIA to truly compensate for the growth in aviation’s carbon emissions Feb 2019 - If airlines are allowed to use all available offset credits certified by programmes such as… Read More
Robust eligibility criteria essential for new global scheme to offset aviation emissions Feb 2019 - This letter in Nature Climate Change finds that CORSIA will only compensate for the emissions… Read More
Discussion paper: Marginal cost of CER supply and implications of demand sources Mar 2018 - In this discussion paper we estimate the marginal cost of supplying certified emissions reduction units… Read More
Discussion Paper: CDM Supply Potential up to 2020 Aug 2017 - Authored by NewClimate Institute, Lambert Schneider and Stephanie La Hoz Theuer, this publication forms part… Read More
Vulnerability of CDM Projects for Discontinuation of Mitigation Activities May 2017 - Authored by NewClimate Institute and the Öko-Institut, this publication forms part of a broader project,… Read More