Climate initiatives, national contributions and the Paris Agreement

Download draft discussion paper

Note: an updated version of the discussion paper is available

In December 2015 Parties adopted the Paris Agreement at the 21st session of the UNFCCC. In its Article 2 governments agreed to limit global warming to “well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels” and to pursue to limit it to 1.5°C (UNFCCC 2015). The UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2015 showed that a gap of 14 GtCO2e exists for 2030 between the mitigation proposals submitted by Parties as part of their INDCs and a pathway compatible with holding temperature increase below 2°C (UNEP 2015b). Against this background international climate initiatives can play an important role for reducing global emissions. Based on an analysis of about 180 initiatives we analysed the potential impact of these initiatives on GHG emissions, shared elements of initiatives which have a high impact and the relationship between such initiatives and the UNFCCC. This draft discussion paper presents preliminary results from our analysis. It was funded by the German Environment Agency. The final version together with the full report will be published later in 2016 by Umweltbundesamt.

For more information, contact Sebastian Sterl.